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Family Carbon Emissions & Fuel Charge Calculator Assumptions &Tables


Assumptions For This Calculator Relating to Ontario
 

Direct Carbon Cost

​

Federal Fuel Charge Ontario Rates and CO2 Emissions

See "Fuel Charge Rates for Listed Provinces and Territories for 2023 to 2030".

Fuel
$ or kg per
$ Rate 2024
CO2 kg Rate
Gasoline
litre
0.1761
2.347
Diesel
litre
0.2139
2.7
Propane
litre
0.1238
1.6878
Natural gas
cubic metre
0.1525
1.932

Gross Fiscal Cost = Direct Carbon Cost + Indirect Carbon cost

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Gross Fiscal Cost includes Direct Carbon Cost (the table above as it applies to an average family in Ontario) and Indirect Carbon Cost. According to the Parliamentary Budget Officer :

 

"direct costs to households include the federal fuel charge

applied to their consumption of heating fuel and private transport (such

as motor gasoline, diesel and lubricants). Indirect costs capture the

federal fuel charge that is passed through by firms to non-energy

products that households consume." (Footnote 8 to page 1 PBO 2023)

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Parliamentary Budget Officer Calculations of Gross Fiscal Cost for 5 Income Quintiles - Ontario

Please see "A Distributional Analysis of the Federal Fuel charge under the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan", Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer, March 30, 2023 and its Supplementary Data spreadsheet file.

Quintile
ON Total income quintile definition, 2023-24
Disposable Income 2023-2024
Gross Fiscal Cost 2024-2025
Quartely Gross Fiscal Cost 2024-2025
Q1
Min - 40,570
29453.93
465
116.16
Q2
40,571 - 75,434
55539.47
695
173.72
Q3
75,435 - 121,041
84137.97
964
240.88
Q4
121,042 - 186,665
122414.78
1118
279.47
Q5
186,666 - Max
239373.38
1421
355.27

Gross Economic Cost

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Parliamentary Budget Officer Calculations of Gross Economic Cost for 5 Income Quintiles - Ontario

Please see "A Distributional Analysis of the Federal Fuel charge under the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan", Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer, March 30, 2023 and its Supplementary Data spreadsheet file.

These numbers are currently under review by the PBO.  There is currently extensive disagreement in Parliament among different political parties.

Quintile
ON Total income quintile definition, 2023-24
Disposable Income 2023-2024
Gross Economic Cost 2024-2025
Quarterly Gross Economic Cost 2024-2025
Q1
Min - 40,570
29453.93
70.67
17.67
Q2
40,571 - 75,434
55539.47
218.26
54.56
Q3
75,435 - 121,041
84137.97
493.02
123.25
Q4
121,042 - 186,665
122414.78
862.69
215.67
Q5
186,666 - Max
239373.38
2060.66
515.17
Family Member
Quarterly Rebate Paid
First Adult
140
Rural
168
Second Adult
70
Rural
84
Each Child
35
Rural
42
Family of 4
280
Rural
336

PBO Estimated Rebate

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Parliamentary Budget Officer Calculations of Rebate for 5 Income Quintiles - Ontario

Please see "A Distributional Analysis of the Federal Fuel charge under the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan", Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer, March 30, 2023 and its Supplementary Data spreadsheet file.

​

Quintile
ON Total income quintile definition, 2023-24
Disposable Income 2023-2024
Quarterly Rebate 2024-2025
Q1
Min - 40,570
29453.93
202.48
Q2
40,571 - 75,434
55539.47
236.16
Q3
75,435 - 121,041
84137.97
268.22
Q4
121,042 - 186,665
122414.78
290.13
Q5
186,666 - Max
239373.38
314.48
Direct Carbon Costs
Economic Costs
Canada Carbon Rebate
Gross Fiscal Costs
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